In this paper, we present a reliability growth model to describe the changes of failure rate at several stages of the development testing program. At stage k, Bayes method is used to get the failure rate of system, then the result is updated according to the duty cycle. The prior distribution of λk is developed to use the information of test 1to k-1. A growth factor ηk is introduced at each stage to show the reliability growth. A numerical example illustrates the use of the model.
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党晓玲,秦石桥,武小悦,等.复杂系统研制阶段可靠性增长的评估模型. A Reliability Growth Model for Complex System in Development Testing Program[J].国防科技大学学报,1998,20(5):120-124.