基于心理调查和空间干预的人群心理仿真
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(91024030);国家社会科学基金资助项目(10BXW019)


Crowd Psychology Simulation Incorporating Psychometrics andIntervention of Relationship Spaces
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    摘要:

    突发危机事件中人群心理评估是当前危机管理急需解决的难点问题。由于突发危机事件群体心理数据采集的困难性和人群心理变化的复杂性等原因,传统方法很难准确评估群体心理效果。随着计算机科学的发展,建模仿真成为解决这类问题的有效手段。以复杂适应系统理论为指导,采用基于Agent的建模与仿真方法,研究外部事件刺激下群体的心理行为,构建群体心理评估模型,开发人群心理评估系统。根据心理调查结果,将个体建立为自主的Agent模型,个体之间按照心理驱动行为方式进行交互,完成心理传播过程。将影响个体心理的外部刺激事件采用五元组量化表示。将群体中的正式组织和非正式组织建立平行组织模型。以实际案例进行仿真实验,验证了模型的科学性和有效性。

    Abstract:

    Computer simulation is a promising approach to better understand the crowd psychological dynamics. The lack of real data in crowd simulations, however, usually results in heavy dependence on assumptions, and thus hampers the confidence. This research presents the simulation of crowds under confrontation of psychological stimuli, which focuses on the psychological aspect of the crowd and introduces the intervention between two different relationship spaces in the crowd. Firstly, with the agent-based approach, psychometrics is employed in the construction of the individual model to improve the trustworthiness. Secondly, the research describe, by means of the model, the phenomenon that individuals tend to get involved in various relationship spaces, which plays an important role in the procedure of psychological propagation. Finally, a scenario of a crowd in large-scale public activity under terrorist threat is studied, in which the workflow for psychometrics based crowd simulation is demonstrated, and the preliminary results are also discussed.

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廖东升,侯波南,王兵,等.基于心理调查和空间干预的人群心理仿真[J].国防科技大学学报,2011,33(3):151-156.
LIAO Dongsheng, HOU Bonan, WANG Bing, et al. Crowd Psychology Simulation Incorporating Psychometrics andIntervention of Relationship Spaces[J]. Journal of National University of Defense Technology,2011,33(3):151-156.

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  • 收稿日期:2010-11-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2012-09-13
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