香港地区2013—2016年地基GPS大气可降水量与实际降雨量的比较
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(41374036); 国家重点基础研究发展计划资助项目(2013CB733302)


Comparison between GPS-derived precipitable water vapor and rainfall during 2013 to 2016 over Hong Kong
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    摘要:

    在利用欧洲中尺度天气预报中心(ECMWF)的数据对由GPS观测资料计算的大气可降水量(PWV)进行精度评定的基础上,基于谐波分析的方法对香港地区不同方位5个测站2013—2016年连续4年的PWV(GPS)和实际降雨量进行比较。结果表明,地基PWV(GPS)相对于PWV(ECMWF)月均值的均方根在1.02~3.07 mm之间,偏差在-2.14~2.52 mm之间。地基PWV(GPS)和实际降雨量都呈现明显的周期性,两者每年峰值出现的时间有非常一致的对应关系。PWV的峰值出现在7月,振幅在14.65mm与16.79 mm之间;实际降雨量峰值同样出现在7月,振幅在147.64 mm与211.01 mm之间。5个测站PWV年增长率为正表明,近4年香港地区PWV呈现出增长的趋势;而实际降雨量年增长率除HKOH测站为正外,其余站点均为负,总体呈现出逐年减少的趋势。

    Abstract:

    The atmospheric PWV (precipitable water vapor) was derived from GPS observations of 5 stations over Hong Kong during four years from 2013 to 2016 and the accuracy of PWV(GPS) was assessed with PWV(ECMWF). Based on harmonic analysis, the PWV(GPS) was then compared with rainfall. Taking PWV(ECMWF) monthly means as reference, results show that the RMS(root mean square) of PWV(GPS) monthly means is between 1.02 mm and 3.07 mm and the bias is between -2.14 mm and 2.52 mm. Both PWV and rainfall have similar periodic characteristics. The peaks of PWV occur in July with amplitudes varying between 14.65mm and 16.79mm. And the peaks of rainfall also occur in July and the amplitudes are between 147.64 mm and 211.01 mm. The annual increase rate of PWV is positive at each GPS station, which indicates that the PWV over Hong Kong has an increasing trend during the past 4 years. While the annual increase rate of the actual rainfall is negative except in HKOH station, which means a decreasing trend during the 4 years.

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徐晓华,刘宏康,罗佳.香港地区2013—2016年地基GPS大气可降水量与实际降雨量的比较[J].国防科技大学学报,2017,39(5):14-20,44.
XU Xiaohua, LIU Hongkang, LUO Jia. Comparison between GPS-derived precipitable water vapor and rainfall during 2013 to 2016 over Hong Kong[J]. Journal of National University of Defense Technology,2017,39(5):14-20,44.

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  • 收稿日期:2017-03-13
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-11-07
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