典型作战流程和分级环境下发射车生存能力改进ADC评估模型
2024,46(1):222-230
王冬
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025，dong_2021201@163.com
高钦和
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025
黄通
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025
刘志浩
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025，dong_2021201@163.com
高钦和
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025
黄通
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025
刘志浩
火箭军工程大学 导弹工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025
摘要：
为了综合评估发射车在作战中的生存能力,区分参数-性能-能力-效能四个层次建立武器装备评估空间,构建对象、内容和层次三个维度的评估框架,划分五类自然环境、三级威胁环境和三种作战状态,将外界环境引入评估过程,用被发现概率和损毁概率表征发射车隐蔽伪装能力和抗毁防护能力,建立发射车作战状态转移概率矩阵,提出典型作战流程和分级环境下的发射车生存能力改进可靠性、可信性、可用性综合评估模型。通过仿真分析,在不同环境和作战状态下各型发射车生存能力差异明显,模型能在性能空间、环境空间、作战流程空间多个维度动态评估发射车的生存能力,为发射车性能设计、战场运用提出量化和优化建议。
为了综合评估发射车在作战中的生存能力,区分参数-性能-能力-效能四个层次建立武器装备评估空间,构建对象、内容和层次三个维度的评估框架,划分五类自然环境、三级威胁环境和三种作战状态,将外界环境引入评估过程,用被发现概率和损毁概率表征发射车隐蔽伪装能力和抗毁防护能力,建立发射车作战状态转移概率矩阵,提出典型作战流程和分级环境下的发射车生存能力改进可靠性、可信性、可用性综合评估模型。通过仿真分析,在不同环境和作战状态下各型发射车生存能力差异明显,模型能在性能空间、环境空间、作战流程空间多个维度动态评估发射车的生存能力,为发射车性能设计、战场运用提出量化和优化建议。
基金项目：
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51905541)；陕西省自然科学基础研究计划资助项目(2020JQ487)
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51905541)；陕西省自然科学基础研究计划资助项目(2020JQ487)
Improved ADC model for launch vehicle survivability in typical combat flow and graded environment
WANG Dong
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China,dong_2021201@163.com
GAO Qinhe
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China
HUANG Tong
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China
LIU Zhihao
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China,dong_2021201@163.com
GAO Qinhe
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China
HUANG Tong
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China
LIU Zhihao
College of Missile Engineering, Rocket Force University of Engineering, Xi′an 710025, China
Abstract：
In order to comprehensively evaluate the survivability of launch vehicles in combat, a weapon equipment evaluation space was established by distinguishing parameters-performance-capability-effectiveness at four levels. In view of the survivability assessment of launch vehicles, graded five types of natural environment, three levels of threat environment and three kinds of combat flow status, the impact of external environment was taken as the necessary conditions of effectiveness evaluation, and an evaluation framework of three dimensions of object, content and level was constructed.The detection probability and damage probability were used to characterize the camouflage ability and anti-damage protection ability of launch vehicles, and the continuous transfer probability matrix of launch vehicles′ combat status was established. A comprehensive evaluation model of launch vehicle based on improved availability, dependability, capability model under typical combat flow and graded environment was proposed. Through simulation analysis, the survivability of various launch vehicles varies significantly in different environments and combat status, the model can dynamically evaluate the survivability of launch vehicles from multiple dimensions of performance space, environment space and combat flow space, and put forward optimization and quantitative suggestions for the performance design and battlefield application of launch vehicles.
In order to comprehensively evaluate the survivability of launch vehicles in combat, a weapon equipment evaluation space was established by distinguishing parameters-performance-capability-effectiveness at four levels. In view of the survivability assessment of launch vehicles, graded five types of natural environment, three levels of threat environment and three kinds of combat flow status, the impact of external environment was taken as the necessary conditions of effectiveness evaluation, and an evaluation framework of three dimensions of object, content and level was constructed.The detection probability and damage probability were used to characterize the camouflage ability and anti-damage protection ability of launch vehicles, and the continuous transfer probability matrix of launch vehicles′ combat status was established. A comprehensive evaluation model of launch vehicle based on improved availability, dependability, capability model under typical combat flow and graded environment was proposed. Through simulation analysis, the survivability of various launch vehicles varies significantly in different environments and combat status, the model can dynamically evaluate the survivability of launch vehicles from multiple dimensions of performance space, environment space and combat flow space, and put forward optimization and quantitative suggestions for the performance design and battlefield application of launch vehicles.
收稿日期：
2021-10-08
2021-10-08
