基于似然比检验的橡胶密封件加速试验机理一致性判别方法
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(51375487,51205402)


Identification method of mechanism consistency for rubber seals accelerated testing based on likelihood ratio test
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    摘要:

    加速退化试验广泛应用于橡胶密封件等长寿命产品的可靠性评估,试验过程中需要将高应力水平下的试验结果外推到正常应力水平。要获得准确的产品可靠性评估结果,需要保证加速应力下的退化失效机理与正常应力下的退化失效机理一致。基于似然比检验原理,提出加速退化试验机理一致性判别方法及流程。针对失效机理一致与失效机理变化两种场合,提出对数线性及非对数线性两类加速模型,并结合混合效应模型描述产品退化过程。利用似然比检验判断加速模型参数是否变化,完成失效机理一致性判别。仿真算例和应用实例表明,该方法能够有效判别橡胶密封件失效机理是否变化,并找到失效机理不变的应力水平边界。

    Abstract:

    Accelerated degradation testing has been widely used to investigate the reliability of long lifetime products, including rubber seals. The test results at higher stress levels were extrapolated to the normal stress level in the accelerated degradation testing. For an accurate product reliability evaluation, the failure mechanism under accelerated stresses should be consistent with the mechanism under normal conditions. Based on the likelihood ratio test, an identification method and a flow chart were proposed. For describing the mechanism consistency and variation, log-linear and non-log-linear acceleration models were suggested, and the mixed-effects model was introduced to depict the degradation process. According to the judgment between the consistency and variation of acceleration model parameters, the identification was completed. The simulation test and the real test show that this method can identify the mechanism variation of rubber seals. Moreover, the stress boundary for consistent mechanism is found by the identification method.

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鲁相,汪亚顺,陈循,等.基于似然比检验的橡胶密封件加速试验机理一致性判别方法[J].国防科技大学学报,2019,41(2):144-149.
LU Xiang, WANG Yashun, CHEN Xun, et al. Identification method of mechanism consistency for rubber seals accelerated testing based on likelihood ratio test[J]. Journal of National University of Defense Technology,2019,41(2):144-149.

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  • 收稿日期:2018-01-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-04-24
  • 出版日期: 2019-04-28
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