智能封控弹药落点散布规律及精度评估
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军事科学院 战略评估咨询中心

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TJ413.+3

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Research on the Dispersion Law and Accuracy Evaluation of Impact Point of Smart Blockade and Control Ammunition
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    摘要:

    为优化智能封控弹药的布撒策略,规划多弹联合抛撒弹道方案,提高落点精度评估的准确性,本文提出了一种基于伞-弹动力学模型、蒙特卡洛模型以及椭圆概率误差模型的多弹联合落点散布模拟及精度评估方法。设计了一种基于时序控制的弹药布撒策略,建立了弹药群在多源扰动下的弹药群落点散布精度联合仿真集成模型,分析了随机误差源对弹药落点散布的影响规律,计算了弹药群落点分布及散布范围,评估了弹药群的落点精度。结果表明,减速伞气动特性扰动对落点沿水平方向散布的影响程度最大,横风扰动对落点沿侧向的影响程度最大。弹药群的落点散布均呈不规则椭圆形且越靠近标准值位置落点越密集,落点区域无相互重叠,布撒策略具有可行性。

    Abstract:

    To optimize the distribution strategy of a new type of smart blockade and control ammunition, plan the joint dispersion trajectory scheme of ammunition clusters and improve the accuracy of impact point accuracy evaluation, a joint simulation and evaluation method of impact point dispersion of ammunition clusters was proposed based on parachute-payload dynamics model, Monte Carlo method and elliptic probability error model. The distribution strategy was designed based on time-series control. An integrated model for joint simulation of impact points distribution accuracy of ammunitions under multi-source disturbance was established. The influence law of random disturbance sources on impact point dispersion of ammunition was analyzed, the distribution and dispersion range of ammunition clusters were calculated, and the impact point accuracy of ammunition clusters was evaluated. The results show that the aerodynamic characteristic disturbance of the parachute has the greatest influence on the horizontal dispersion of the impact point, and the cross-wind disturbance has the greatest influence on the lateral dispersion of the impact point. The impact point dispersion of ammunition clusters is irregular ellipse, and the closer to the standard value, the denser the impact points are, and the impact point areas does not overlap each other, the distribution strategy is feasible.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-09-05
  • 最后修改日期:2024-12-31
  • 录用日期:2025-01-15
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