| 引用本文: | 程光显,张士峰.导弹落点精度的鉴定方法——概率圆方法.[J].国防科技大学学报,2001,23(5):13-16.[点击复制] |
| CHENG Guangxian,ZHANG Shifeng.Assessment for the Accuracy of the Fall Points—Probability Circle Method[J].Journal of National University of Defense Technology,2001,23(5):13-16[点击复制] |
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| 导弹落点精度的鉴定方法——概率圆方法 |
| 程光显1, 张士峰2 |
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(1.中国航天科技集团一院一部，北京 100076;2.国防科技大学 航天与材料工程学院，湖南 长沙 410073)
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| 摘要: |
| 导弹的落点精度包括落点的准确度与密集度。对于子样很小的情况，分别鉴定准确度和密集度是有一定的难度。本文提出了采用概率圆的综合鉴定方法。当落入概率圆的导弹数大于等于要求的数时就接收，否则拒绝。文中给出了如何确定落入概率圆的导弹数，并且给出了该方法的风险。最后以仿真实例说明了方法的有效性。概率圆方法简便易行，便于工程应用。 |
| 关键词: 概率圆 落点精度 鉴定方法 圆概率偏差 风险 |
| DOI： |
| 投稿日期：2001-03-29 |
| 基金项目: |
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| Assessment for the Accuracy of the Fall Points—Probability Circle Method |
| CHENG Guangxian1, ZHANG Shifeng2 |
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(1.The First System Design Department of the First Research Academy of CASC, Beijing 100076, China;2.College of Aerospace and Materials Engineering, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)
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| Abstract: |
| The performance of the missiles is determined mostly by the accuracy and dispersion of the random fall points. In small samples case, it is difficult to assess respectively the accuracy and dispersion. The integration assessment approach adopting probability circle method is proposed. The performance is accepted when the number which fall into the probability circle is larger than or equal to the number predetermined, otherwise it is rejected. The producer's risk and consumer's risk are also given. Finally, the simulation shows that the approach proposed in this paper is available. Probability circle method is simple and easy for practical applications. |
| Keywords: probability circle accuracy of the fall points assessment method Circular error probability(CEP) risk |
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